The Real Reason Why Mexico Hates Donald Trump

4/19/16 Forbes

Donald_Trump)If you believe the Mexican government and its former president are worried about the plight of their poor workers toiling away on American farms, think again. They are worried about one thing: money.

Say what you will about FORBES’ No. 324, but he scares the Bank of Mexico more than he scares Mexicans.

The Associated Press was the first to point out just how important Mexican immigrants, both legal and illegal, are to the health of the Mexican economy. Last year, Mexicans in the U.S. wired $24.8 billion to family members. That’s more than Mexico’s economy brought in from oil revenue and is nearly half of what a country the size of Brazil brings in from foreign direct investment (FDI).

Former Mexican president Vicente Fox and current leader Enrique Peña Nieto can shout all they want about Donald Trump’s controversial border fence proposal. But their unvoiced concern is how U.S. immigration policy impacts for their biggest source of foreign capital.

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Mexico foreign direct investment races ahead as Brazil sputters

8/25/15 Financial Times

social classMexico and Brazil dominate foreign direct investment flows into Latin America, but their FDI prospects could be heading in opposite directions. While Mexico is making hay with China’s declining cost competitiveness in manufacturing, Brazil is slipping behind.

In 2014, Mexico attracted 366 greenfield investment projects totalling an estimated $33bn and Brazil 322 projects at $18bn, according to fDi Markets, an FT data service. Together they mopped up nearly 60 per cent of capital expenditure on new projects or expansions of existing facilities in Latin America and the Caribbean last year.

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Mexico and Colombia join ‘fragile five’ emerging markets

8/13/2015 Financial Times

120px-Philippine-stock-market-boardColombia and Mexico are now members of the “fragile five” group of emerging market nations, replacing India and Brazil, according to analysis by JPMorgan Asset Management.

The Latin American duo, alongside Turkey, South Africa and Indonesia, are seen as the countries most overdependent on potentially skittish foreign investment flows.

The original “fragile five” were worst hit during the taper tantrum of 2013, when foreign investors fled emerging markets. The vulnerability of four of the five (South Africa, Turkey, India and Indonesia, but not Brazil) had been identified by JPMAM before the sell off.

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The Latin American Foreign Investment Boom: Recent Trends and the Evolution of Multilatinas

multilatinasBy Adrián Blanco Estévez

Latin American companies—both public (state-owned enterprises) and private—have been growing in size and presence abroad, through operations that range from modest representation offices to acquisitions of first-world corporations. The phenomenon of “multilatinas” comprises the growing number of companies that gradually began to invest abroad in the 1990s, but surged forward with a huge wave of investment starting in 2000. In fact, 2010-2012 marked the highest levels of FDI outflows from Latin America in the region’s history.

Mexico is no stranger to the birth of multilatinas. Mexico, along with Brazil and Chile, leads the way in terms of presence of multilatinas, and is the second most important country in the region in terms of FDI outflows, accounting for virtually all outflows from Central America. Additionally, Mexico is the leader among the Latin American countries in terms of investment in the United States. Thus, with 18 multilatinas and 24.5 percent of total FDI outflows from Latin America, the surge in foreign investments by major Mexican companies is clear

This publication, The Latin American Foreign Investment Boom: Recent Trends and the Evolution of Multilatinas, analyzes the multilatina phenomenon in order to define its characteristics today, including political, institutional, economic, and financial factors that explain these companies’ birth, develompent, and transformation into global players.

Download the publication here.

What Does Mexico’s Oil Industry Reform Mean For Investors?

Forbes, 12/16/2013

Ancient Mayan pyramid, KukulcanLast week Mexico’s Congress approved a bill to end a seven-decade long state oil monopoly. In coming years foreign companies could invest as much as $20 billion a year in Mexico’s oil sector, thanks to new rules that will allow production sharing.

Although the energy reform bill, spearheaded by Mexico’s President Enrique Peña Nieto during his first year in office, has been vociferously opposed by Mexico’s left, the bill has the backing of Peña’s centrist PRI party as well as the right-of-center party of former President Felipe Calderon. Together the PRI and the PAN had enough votes to push the bill through Congress, where it was approved 353-134.

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Analysis: Mexico’s reforms hook U.S. investors

120px-Philippine-stock-market-boardReuters, 3/18/2013

Don’t be fooled by the Mexican stock market’s slow start to the year. The country’s push for economic reforms and the revival of the economy of its largest trading partner, the United States, are stirring investor interest in Latin America’s No. 2 market. International fund managers say recent announcements of reforms to Mexico’s education system and telecommunications sector provide a positive backdrop for U.S. investors to keep putting roughly 30 percent of their allocations for Latin America into Mexican stocks and bonds.

“You saw a lot of optimism around elections and the potential reforms,” said Darren Capeloto, portfolio strategist focused on Latin America at Payden & Rygel in Los Angeles. Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto, in office since December, has managed to reach agreement with opposition lawmakers to push through reforms, the most important of which will be in the state-dominated energy sector this summer.

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Señores, start your engines: Cheaper than China and with credit and oil about to start flowing, Mexico is becoming a Brazil-beater

The Economist, 11/24/2012

CuernavacaCuernavaca, a once pretty, now sprawling city with volcano views just south of the capital, is a typical Mexican town. Hernán Cortés stopped off there after toppling the Aztec emperor Moctezuma in 1520; the conquistador’s stables have since been converted into a smart hotel. Yet on the outskirts of the city, in an enormous industrial park, a visitor could forget he was in Latin America. Nissan, a Japanese car giant, has created a factory the size of a village where from next year it will begin turning out thousands of yellow and chessboard-chequered New York City taxis.

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