Donald Trump’s Mexico border wall falling flat in Arizona

10/23/16 The Indian Express

trumpDonald Trump rode to the top of the Republican ticket promising a “big, beautiful, powerful” border wall with Mexico to stop the flow of undocumented immigrants. Along that border, however, Americans are more likely to call the wall a “waste of money”, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll. The results show that while the New York businessman may have expected his tough stance on immigration to fire up support nationally, it seems to be falling short in a state heavily affected by illegal immigration, and where he is now facing a surprising challenge from his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton.

Read more…

What Trumponomics means for the border region

10/15/16 The Economist

fence at borderASKED what he thought of Donald Trump’s plan to build a wall on the border, a Mexican official smiled and reached for his smartphone. He called up a map of Mexico in 1824, when it included California, Texas and most of what is now the southwestern United States. We’ll gladly pay for a wall on that border, he joked.

For most Mexicans, the prospect of a Trump triumph—however unlikely—is less amusing. The Republican nominee says he would slap a 35% tariff on Mexican goods and maybe scrap the North American Free-Trade Agreement (NAFTA).

Read more…

Mexico market volatility could ease if Trump situation ‘resolves itself’: cbank governor

10/12/16 Reuters

carstensMexico’s central bank governor Agustin Carstens said on Wednesday that volatility in local markets could ease if the situation involving U.S. Republican Presidential hopeful Donald Trump “resolves itself.”

Noting that Trump has made “very specific” comments about Mexico, Carstens told local radio that “everything points to this resolving itself and let’s hope that is the case. And from then on, I expect that we could see much less volatility in our markets.”

Read more…

Here’s What Donald Trump Got Wrong About Mexico’s Taxes

10/03/16 Time

trumpAfter Donald Trump suggested at the presidential debate last week that foreign countries’ value-added tax, or VAT, amounts to a tariff on American companies, the idea appeared, briefly, to gain steam.

“When we sell into Mexico, there’s a tax—automatic, 16 percent, approximately,” Trump said Monday. “When they sell to us, there is no tax.”

Read more…

Will Trump’s Poor Debate Performance Help Mexico’s Peso Rebound?

10/03/16 Forbes

mexican pesosRecently I walked through the neighborhood near Mexico’s stock exchange. Away from the wide expanse of Reforma Avenue where a number of major banks have their main offices in Mexico City there is a large agglomeration of currency exchange houses. The signs that line the streets advertise the peso exchange rate. In the weeks prior to the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, as Trump saw his standing in opinion polls rise, Mexico’s peso took a hard hit, and the peso-dollar exchange rate rose to a historic high of nearly twenty pesos to the dollar.

Read more…

Opportunity for Latinos [Op-ed, in Spanish]

Andrew Selee, Op-ed, Reforma, 11/11/2012

The re-election of Barack Obama opens the possibility of repositioning the migration agenda in the bilateral relationship

President Barack Obama won the election with an absolute majority and a margin in almost all of the battleground states. His re-election comes with a divided Congress, about the same in composition as before, but with a clear mandate to deal with economic and fiscal issues facing the nation.

Read more…

2010 Elections: Implications for Immigration Reform

Jason Marczak, Americas Quarterly Blog, 11/3/2010

With control of the U.S. House of Representatives switching to the Republican Party, the future of a comprehensive approach to immigration reform is now in greater doubt. And Democrats—unable to put forward a proposal that could muster the necessary support to right our broken immigration system—will take a back seat to the immigration plans of the new House leadership.

One of the first orders of business when the new Congress convenes in January will be the designation of new committee chairpersons. Rep. Zoe Lofgren (CA) is out as the House immigration subcommittee chairperson, and Rep. Steve King (IA) will likely take the gavel. As for the full Judiciary Committee, it will likely be led by Rep. Lamar Smith (TX). This means a new approach for immigration-related issues. And in essence, going back to the drawing board on many of the core concerns.

The Democrats had been working on comprehensive immigration reform that revolved around four pillars originally put forward by Senators Schumer and Graham in March. (That is before Sen. Graham withdrew his support a few months later.) The approach included: requiring biometric Social Security cards; beefing up border security; creating a system for admitting temporary workers; and implementing a path for the legalization of certain undocumented immigrants. And President Obama asserted that the chance for reform was close, noting last week: “Right now on immigration reform, we’re eight votes short or 10 votes short.”

But if the Pledge to America—the Republicans’ legislative agenda unveiled in September—is any indication, the new House leadership’s immigration focus will be on issues of border enforcement, immigration law enforcement and strengthening visa security. Plans do not include any focus on creating a path toward legalization of the 11 million undocumented immigrants currently living in the shadows. Instead, the 21-page pledge indirectly calls for supporting legislation such as Arizona’s SB 1070 with its call to “reaffirm the authority of state and local law enforcement to assist in the enforcement of all federal immigration laws.”

Read more…