The Mexico Institute is pleased to announce the launch of its series, Charting a New Course: Policy Options for the Next Stage in U.S.-Mexico Relations, which reevaluates the U.S.-Mexico relationship and explores how both nations can improve upon the bilateral agenda given changes in the regional and global context. The series includes original content, including reports, videos, and more.
Tag: Economy
[Video] Charting a New Course Part 1: U.S.-Mexico Economic Interdependence
The Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute has released a series of new essays covering a range of important bilateral issues. We kick off our companion video series, “Charting a New Course,” with a focus on economic interdependence. Mexico Institute Deputy Director, Chris Wilson provides an overview of the scope and depth of U.S.-Mexico economic cooperation and also talks about what can be done to make the alliance stronger. That’s the focus of this edition of Wilson Center NOW.
EVENT ON MONDAY | The State of Mexico’s Economy
WHEN: Monday, January 9, 1:30-3:00pm
WHERE: 6th Floor Board Room, Wilson Center, Washington, DC
The Wilson Center’s Mexico Institute is pleased to invite you to an event with the International Monetary Fund’s Mexico team, who will present the conclusions of the recently-completed 2016 Article IV consultation with Mexico.
Mexico’s economy has been growing at a moderate pace, inflation is low, and the unemployment rate has been declining. Fiscal consolidation has begun and the financial system remains strong and resilient to severe shocks. It would be critical to adhere to the planned fiscal consolidation to put the public debt ratio on a downward path, and take steps to strengthen the commitment framework for fiscal policy. Steadfast implementation of the plan to reform PEMEX and strengthen its financial viability is also important. Future monetary policy decisions should continue to be guided by the objective of keeping inflation expectations anchored, while clear communication by the central bank is critical. The exchange rate should continue to act as the key shock absorber to help the economy adjust to external shocks. Significant progress has been achieved in strengthening financial sector prudential oversight but some gaps remain, especially in the governance framework of CNBV and IPAB. On the structural front, strengthening the rule of law and boosting female labor supply would boost potential output and reduce inequality and poverty. Going forward, Mexico will need to navigate an uncertain and complex external environment, with elevated risks of protectionism and heightened global financial market volatility.
Speakers
Robert Rennhack
Deputy Director, Western Hemisphere Department, IMF
Costas Christou
Advisor, Western Hemisphere Department, IMF
Alex Klemm
Senior Economist, Western Hemisphere Department, IMF
Damien Puy
Economist,Western Hemisphere Department, IMF
Fabian Valencia
Senior Economist, Western Hemisphere Department, IMF
Commentator
Christopher Wilson
Deputy Director, Mexico Institute, Wilson Center
Moderator
Duncan Wood
Director, Mexico Institute, Wilson Center
3 ways Trump can slap tariffs on China and Mexico
11/14/16 CNN Money
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to slap big tariffs on China and Mexico to help bring jobs back to America.
At first glance, it may seem hard to do without backing from Congress. But actually, Trump doesn’t even need Congress to approve it.
True, the Constitution gives Congress the right to impose tariffs on other nations. However, several complicated laws have been passed in the last 100 years that delegate that power from Congress to the president.
Trump has several options — each open to interpretation — but here are three key ways he can go after China and Mexico.
Trump’s win has Mexico’s markets in chaos
11/09/16 Business Insider
It’s no secret that a Donald Trump makes Mexico nervous. In fact, the Bank of Mexico held an emergency meeting on Wednesday in order to discuss the peso crashing more than 13% to a record low in the wake of Trump’s electoral victory.
While the central bank opted to keep policy on hold as the peso recouped some of its losses, Capital Economics Latin America Economist Adam Collins says his firm has penciled in a half point hike in interest rates to 5.25% at next week’s meeting. That is of course as long as the peso doesn’t come under renewed pressure.
UPDATE 1-Mexico consumer confidence rebounds in Oct from recent low
11/7/16 Reuters
Mexico’s consumer confidence index rebounded in October from a more than 2-1/2 year low hit in the preceding month, the national statistics agency said on Monday.
Consumer confidence was 85.9 in October when adjusted for seasonal factors, up from a downwardly revised 85.1 in September, its lowest since January 2014.
Late last month, preliminary gross domestic product data for the third quarter showed Latin America’s No. 2 economy was on track to post its fastest growth in more than two years after a slump in the second quarter.
“Mexico to double berry output in four years with China’s help”
10/24/2016 EJInsight
Mexico expects its berry production to double in the coming four years with rising demand from China, the world’s second largest economy.
Mexican berry exports, which include blueberries, raspberries, blackberries and strawberries, are worth about US$1.5 billion a year, up 20 percent every year, Mario Alejandro Andrade Cárdenas, vice president of Foreign Trade of the National Agricultural Council (CNA), told EJ Insight.
“With such strong growth, which is partly contributed by China, it is likely that we will be able to double our production of berries in about four years,” Andrade said.
