Mexico’s energy reform is a long-term positive for the country and Petroleos Mexicano’s (Pemex) credit quality, while Comision Federal de Electricidad (CFE) faces margin pressures, according to a new Fitch Ratings report. ‘Fitch does not expect Pemex’s ratings to change due to the energy reform, but the company will benefit from the ability to find partners to share exploration risks and budgetary independence,’ said Lucas Aristizabal, Director.
Overall, the energy reform is a positive for Mexico’s competitiveness. Industrial and commercial electricity users with large enough loads to enter into bilateral contracts with independent power producers stand to see electricity costs decline as a result of the energy reform, assuming new generators are able to secure low cost natural gas from the United States or incremental gas production in Mexico. The rationale behind the ongoing energy reform is to attracting private investors in order to increase the country’s oil and gas production. Mexico has been severely underexplored, while production significantly decreased during the past decade, due to Pemex’s low investing ability. Mexico has estimated resources of approximately 159 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) with proved reserves (1P) accounting for 13.7 billion boe.