4/19/16 Bloomberg Business
Mexico’s debt-laden oil producer has largely dominated investors’ attention in recent months because of the threat it poses to the government. But that’s not the only potential debt crisis facing the nation.
States including Veracruz, Nayarit and Zacatecas are drowning in red ink after racking up about $28 billion in obligations, the most in two decades. Their finances are about to deteriorate even further as many governors ratchet up spending to bolster their chances of winning elections in June, according to Moody’s Investors Service analyst Francisco Vazquez. On April 1, the ratings company lowered the outlook for all but one of Mexico’s 31 states to negative.
“A state crisis is coming,” said Rodolfo Navarrete, a Mexico City-based analyst at Vector Casa de Bolsa, and the most accurate Mexico economic forecaster according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “I expect state governments will look for more financing, either by trying to increase transfers from the federal government or by raising bank debt. This will increase public-sector debt,” which could affect the nation’s credit rating.