How to Reach New Criminal-Political Equilibrium in Mexico’s Post-‘Chapo’ Vacuum

prison - open doorInSight Crime, 3/1/14

With Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman now back in a cage many analysts and ordinary Mexicans alike fret about the expected knock-on effects. What those effects are, and how bloody they might be, will depend on President Enrique Peña Nieto’s next moves in dealing with both the power vacuum Guzman leaves and the political and financial networks that supported his grip.

As Guillermo Valdez, former head of Mexico’s premiere spy agency, explained at a Washington DC conference in the week following his capture, much of the violence this past decade can be explained by the efforts of Guzman and his cartel allies to rebuild the dominion Sinaloans had held over Mexico’s drug trade for a century.

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