May 27, 2014
Photo by Guanatos Gwyn
Financial Times, 5/27/14
Two countries, both linked to the US economically and geographically.
But in a battle between the currencies of Canada and Mexico, it is the peso which many analysts favour.
They are not overly negative the Loonie, per se. As Citi points out, rate cut fears have abated as inflation steadies; the country has “recently shifted to a fiscal surplus, a first since 2008”; net foreign buying of Canadian equities is at cyclical highs.
April 14, 2014
Mexico’s peso posted its biggest weekly drop since January as the country’s political parties wrangled over rules for opening up the energy industry, fueling concern that so-called secondary laws may be delayed. The currency weakened 0.3 percent this week to 13.0425 per dollar according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It was the biggest weekly slump since Jan. 24 after the peso rose 0.2 percent today.
While analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast that the peso would gain an emerging-market best 3.6 percent this year as growth in Latin America’s second-biggest economy quickened, the currency is little changed this year as expansion flounders. Juan Bueno, a lawmaker from the opposition National Action Party, known as the PAN, said in an interview this week that his party hadn’t yet reached an agreement with President Enrique Pena Nieto’s government on oil regulators
July 19, 2013
For those who like volatility, there’s money to be made on the Mexican peso. It could rally on the hopes of a more robust future for Latin America’s second-biggest economy. Or it might get hammered by U.S. Federal Reserve policy moves. Maybe both will happen in the next six months.
While other regional economies are suffering from China’s slowing demand for commodities, Mexico is humming along. Factory exports to the United States are seen picking up and a series of economic reforms has investors seeing a brighter future.
July 16, 2012
Mexico’s peso fell after a German court said it would take more than eight weeks to rule on the euro-area’s permanent bailout fund, fueling concern that the region’s debt crisis will take longer to be resolved.
Speculation that slowing global growth will hurt the market for Mexican exports helped make the peso Latin America’s worst- performing major currency in 2011.
July 9, 2012
The Wall Street Journal, 07/09/2012
Mexican stocks opened lower Monday on continued concerns about the health of the global economy, as rising Spanish borrowing costs furthered concerns about Europe’s debt crisis.
The IPC index of Mexico’s most-traded shares was recently down 101 points, or 0.3%, to 39731 on volume of 4.5 million shares valued at 114 million pesos ($8.5 million).
June 6, 2012
Associated Press, 6/5/2012
Mexico’s peso continued to recover Tuesday from its steep drop last week, as experts denied the resurgence of a leftist candidate in polls on the July 1 presidential race had anything to do with the decline.
On Tuesday, Rogelio Ramirez, an economist and adviser to Lopez Obrador, issued a statement saying that some news media “attributed the weakening (of the peso) to the polls, without any further evidence.
May 22, 2012
Mexico’s peso reached the strongest level in a week on speculation European leaders will step up efforts to support global growth, encouraging demand for the Latin American nation’s higher-yielding assets.
The currency was little changed at 13.6929 per dollar at 8:29 a.m. in Mexico City after earlier appreciating to 13.6650, the strongest level since May 15. The peso has gained 1.7 percent this year.
Mexico’s gross domestic product will expand 3.7 percent this year, according to a survey of economists released yesterday by Citigroup Inc.’s Banamex unit. The economy was expected to expand 3.5 percent this year in the previous biweekly survey.
May 16, 2012
The Wall Street Journal, 5/16/12
Mexico’s peso closed stronger against the U.S. dollar Wednesday as Bank of Mexico Governor Agustin Carstens said the currency is anchored by fundamentals, and should appreciate once financial turmoil eases.
The peso was quoted closing in Mexico City at MXN13.765 to the U.S. dollar, according to Infosel, compared with MXN13.816 at the close Tuesday. The currency opened weaker as worries about the possibility of Greece leaving the euro zone kept investors averse to risk, but recovered ground during the session.
Speaking at a press conference, Carstens said the peso is weaker than it should be, but added that the central bank sees no need to revise the dollar-sale mechanism under which it stands ready to sell dollars if the peso depreciates 2% in a single day.
April 30, 2012
The Wall Street Journal, 4/30/12
The Mexican peso retreated against the U.S. dollar Monday while still holding on to much of the gains it made in the previous session after the Bank of Mexico decided to leave its overnight lending rate target at 4.5%.
The peso was quoted closing in Mexico City at MXN13.0275 to the dollar compared with its Friday close of MXN12.9750, which was also the currency’s strongest finish against the dollar since April 9. Still, the peso’s 0.4% pullback Monday erased only a modest portion of the currency’s 1.5% gain against the dollar Friday.
“Mexican peso bulls have been trimming back positions in recent weeks and were caught wrong-footed at the end of the week when the Mexican peso rose to its best level in three weeks…amid general dollar weakness and the decision by the central bank to keep rates steady (in the face of speculation of a rate cut),” Brown Brothers Harriman said in a report.
April 23, 2012
Mexico’s largest mortgage provider plans to offer home buyers fixed-rate loans for the first time, as the two-decade long inflationary hangover from the country’s Tequila Crisis fades.
A legal overhaul will let Mexicans who finance their homes with state-controlled Infonavit, the company founded in 1972 to give workers access to home financing, get the 30-year mortgages for the first time as soon as June. The lender, which has made about 4.4 million loans since 2001, also plans to issue mortgage-backed securities in pesos next year to match income with obligations, the first such sales since 2004.
President Felipe Calderon’s government is taking advantage of the second-lowest inflation rate among major Latin American economies to start providing the loans as it moves to tame a housing shortage afflicting 8.9 million families. Inflation has declined to 3.73 percent from 52 percent in 1995 when the peso’s devaluation sparked capital outflows across the region.